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Re: Al, Bob, Cal and Don each own 1 hat. If the 4 hats are rando [#permalink]
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khalilullahtaj wrote:
Hi, Brent!
Could you explain mathematically why 3/4*2/3*1/2 doesn't work to find the probability in this case? I can see that your answer is correct, it is because you have laid out all the possible scenarios that satisfy the question.
What would be the approach if there were 13 hats and the probability to distribute all of them incorrectly to their owners?


Let's first reverse-engineer your solution (3/4)(2/3)(1/2)
I believe it goes something like this:

P(no one receives his own hat) = (Al gets a different hat) x (Bob gets a different hat) x (Cal gets a different hat) x (Don gets a different hat)
If Al is the first person to receive a hat, then P(Al gets a different hat) = 3/4 (this matches your solution)

Now let's examine two possible cases with regard to the hat that Al receives
case i: Al receives Bob's hat. After that, there are 3 hats remaining, and none of them belong to Bob. So, P(Bob gets a different hat) = 3/3
case ii: Al receives Don's hat. After that, there are 3 hats remaining, and one of them belongs to Bob. So, P(Bob gets a different hat) = 2/3
So, we already have a problem since we have two different values for P(Bob gets a different hat).

Does that help?
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Re: Al, Bob, Cal and Don each own 1 hat. If the 4 hats are rando [#permalink]
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thanks a lot for the solution.
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Re: Al, Bob, Cal and Don each own 1 hat. If the 4 hats are rando [#permalink]
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Number of ways to distribute hat = 4!
Number of ways atleast one gets a hat = One gets + Ways 2 get + ways 3 get + way 4 get
= 4C1 + 4C2 + 4C3 + 4C4
Probability that no one gets = 1- probability that at least one gets
= 1 - (4C1 + 4C2 + 4C3 + 4C4)/4!
= 9/24 = 3/8
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Re: Al, Bob, Cal and Don each own 1 hat. If the 4 hats are rando [#permalink]
It is a nice explanation, but maybe there is a mathematical solution for a case there will be more than 4 people?
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Re: Al, Bob, Cal and Don each own 1 hat. If the 4 hats are rando [#permalink]
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Re: Al, Bob, Cal and Don each own 1 hat. If the 4 hats are rando [#permalink]
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