Re: A fair coin is flipped 5 times.
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25 Mar 2023, 09:44
OE
Because heads and tails are equally likely, it follows that the probability of getting more heads than tails should be exactly the same as the probability of getting more tails than heads. The only remaining option is that you might get equally as many heads and tails. However, because the total number of coin flips is an odd number, the latter is impossible. Therefore, the probability of getting more heads than tails must be exactly 1/2. (It is, of course, also possible to compute this probability directly by considering the cases of getting 5, 4, or 3 heads separately. However, this approach would be very time-consuming.) Another way of thinking about it is that, for every set of flips that has more heads than tails, there is a corresponding set of flips, in which every flip gets the opposite result, that has more tails. For instance, the sequence of throws HHHHH is balanced by the sequence TTTTT. The sequence HHHHT is balanced by the sequence TTTTH. Therefore, the two quantities are equal.