Carcass wrote:
Three persons P, Q and R independently try to hit a target. If the probabilities of their hitting the target are 3/4, 1/2 and 5/8 respectively, then the probability that the target is hit by P or Q but not by R is
A) 21/64
B) 9/64
C) 15/64
D) 39/64
E) 27/64
If P(person P hits) = 3/4, then P(person P misses) = 1 - 3/4 = 1/4
If P(person Q hits) = 1/2, then P(person P misses) = 1 - 1/2 = 1/2
If P(person R hits) = 5/8, then P(person P misses) = 1 - 5/8 = 3/8We want to find P(target is hit by P or Q but not by R)
There are three different scenarios that satisfy this:
1) P hits, Q misses, and R misses
2) P misses, Q hits, and R misses
3) P hits, Q hits, and R misses
So, P(target is hit by P or Q but not by R) = P(P hits
AND Q misses
AND R misses
OR P misses
AND Q hits
AND R misses
OR P hits
AND Q hits
AND R misses)
= P(P hits
AND Q misses
AND R misses)
+ P(P misses
AND Q hits
AND R misses)
+ P(P hits
AND Q hits
AND R misses)
= [P(P hits)
x P(Q misses)
x P(R misses)]
+ [P(P misses)
x P(Q hits)
x P(R misses)]
+ [P(P hits)
x P(Q hits)
x P(R misses)]
= [3/4
x 1/2
x 3/8]
+ [1/4
x 1/2
x 3/8]
+ [3/4
x 1/2
x 3/8)]
= 9/64
+ 3/64
+ 9/64
= 21/64
Answer: A