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The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Balmer Island Gazette.
"On Balmer Island, where mopeds sere as a popular form of transportation, the population increases to 100,000 during the summer months. To reduce the number of accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians, the town council of Balmer Island should limit the number of mopeds rented by the island's moped rental companies from 50 per day to 25 per day during the summer season. By limiting the number of rentals, the town council will attain the 50 percent annual reduction in moped accidents that was achieved last year on the neighboring island of Seaville, when Seaville's town council enforced similar limits on moped rentals."
The author suggests the Balmer Island government to limit moped rental per day by 50 percent. By doing so, Balmer Island is claimed to have 50 percent in reduction of moped accidents. The argument concludes that based on the premise that Seaville has the same effect from regulating the same maximum amount moped rentals. The conclusion relies on assumptions for which there is no real evidence. Hence, the author needs to address some questions about its possible flaws before actually putting the recommendation into action.
First of all, the government needs to ask whether the number of moped rental companies will also be limited. If this aspect is not noticed heedly, there might be a bunch of new rental companies occurs in Balmer Island, each of them rents only 25 mopeds per day. If this is the case, the total amount of mopeds rented throughout Balmer Island can be much more than ever. The risk of getting into moped causalities will be even higher.
Secondly, the government also needs to evaluate the causes of the accidents. Mopeds perhaps is only a minor factor after all. It could be there is no clear road sign for pedestrians and mopeds users which cost mopeds accidents. Had this been true, than an attempt to reduce moped rentals can be seen as a trivial strategy.
Finally, the argument needs to ensure that Seaville's condition matches perfectly with that of the Balmer Island. Int the argument, the author seems optimistic with the results from preventing rental just because Seaville, another place, already succeed with promising effects. However, the handling and monitoring of the regulation by each governmental body can give a totally different results. If the Balmer Island's government is not willing to adopt the Seaville's strategy fully, than the effect might be different. Indeed, the Balmer Island's result might be even better than that of Seaville.
Before the government of Balmer Island promulgate the law, it needs to verify that no new rental companies will open. It also needs to address that moped are the major contributor to moped accidents and the situation in the Balmer Island is identical to that in the Seaville.